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Austin vs NTX Rayados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

US Open Cup 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cuero A.
24'
Guillen A.
33' Event
Spence C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Austin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Austin
15%
Draws
42%
NTX Rayados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Austin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Austin are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Austin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NTX Rayados, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Austin Clean Sheet 14%
NTX Rayados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin NTX Rayados
Matches Played 41 13
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2014 US Open Cup
Austin vs NTX Rayados
4:5
May 15, 2013 US Open Cup
Austin vs NTX Rayados
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

NTX Rayados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin 66 / 100
NTX Rayados 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin NTX Rayados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NTX Rayados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 13 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Austin scored in 73% of their last 41 games.

Difficult form: NTX Rayados registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin VS NTX Rayados
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 3
Austin
18 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
3 : 2
Austin
10 Sept
Colorado Springs
3 : 0
Austin
06 Sept
Austin
2 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
30 Aug
Oklahoma City Energy FC
2 : 0
Austin
Page 1 of 9

NTX Rayados

(Away)
29 Jan
FC Dallas
3 : 0
NTX Rayados
15 May
Oklahoma City Energy FC
3 : 1
NTX Rayados
09 May
Little Rock Rangers
2 : 3
NTX Rayados
07 Jun
Houston Dynamo
5 : 0
NTX Rayados
24 May
NTX Rayados
3 : 2
FC Wichita
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Doxa Italia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Eagles -
Dayton -
TBD -
TBD -
River City Rovers -
Michigan Bucks -
TBD -
TBD -
Dearborn Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Madison -
TBD -
TBD -
Menace -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ocala Stampede -
TBD -
TBD -
Red Force -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Mass Premier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochester New York -
Reading -
TBD -
TBD -
LVU Rush -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penn Football Club -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York Red Bulls -
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
RWB Adria -
New York Red Bulls U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ocean City -
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians -
TBD -
TBD -
Icon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Georgia Revolution 2
Colorado Rovers 1
TBD -
Real Colorado -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta SC -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland (Capital) U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sacramento Gold -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charleston -
Chivas USA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura -
TBD -
Fuego 3
Hasental 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina Fusion U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Chattanooga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina FC -
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laredo Heat -
TBD -
TBD -
PSA Elite -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fort Lauderdale Strikers -
Tucson -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio Scorpions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
VSI Tampa Bay FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Wilmington Hammerheads -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NTX Rayados -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/64-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders U23 5
Doxa Italia 1
TBD -
Charlotte Eagles -
Dayton 3
River City Rovers 0
Michigan Bucks 0
Dearborn Stars 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
Madison 0
Menace 1
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ocala Stampede 4
Red Force 2
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Phoenix 2
Mass Premier 0
TBD -
Rochester New York -
Reading 2
LVU Rush 0
TBD -
Penn Football Club -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York Red Bulls -
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
RWB Adria 1
New York Red Bulls U23 0
Ocean City 2
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians 1
Icon 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Georgia Revolution 4
Real Colorado 3
TBD -
Atlanta SC -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland (Capital) U23 3
Sacramento Gold 2
TBD -
Charleston -
Chivas USA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura 3
Hasental 2
TBD -
Orange County SC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina Fusion U23 5
Chattanooga 4
TBD -
North Carolina FC -
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laredo Heat 2
PSA Elite 0
TBD -
Fort Lauderdale Strikers -
Tucson 2
Phoenix FC 1
TBD -
San Antonio Scorpions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Orlando City U23 1
VSI Tampa Bay FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Wilmington Hammerheads -
TBD -
NTX Rayados 0
Austin 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/32-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders U23 0
Charlotte Eagles 3
Dayton 4
Dearborn Stars 1
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
Minnesota United 0
Menace 1
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Ocala Stampede 1
Orlando City 2
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Portland Phoenix 0
Rochester New York 1
Reading 1
Penn Football Club 0
TBD -
New York Red Bulls -
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0
Ocean City 1
Richmond Kickers 4
Icon 1
TBD -
DC United -
Real Salt Lake -
TBD -
Georgia Revolution 2
Atlanta SC 3
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Portland (Capital) U23 0
Charleston 1
Chivas USA -
TBD -
Ventura 1
Orange County SC 5
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
North Carolina FC 3
FC Dallas -
TBD -
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale Strikers 2
Tucson 3
San Antonio Scorpions 2
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Tampa Bay 2
VSI Tampa Bay FC 1
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
Wilmington Hammerheads 2
Austin 0
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/16-finals
Chicago Fire 2
Charlotte Eagles 0
Dayton 1
Columbus Crew 2
Sporting Kansas City 2
Menace 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Orlando City 3
New England Revolution 5
Rochester New York 1
Reading 0
New York Red Bulls 2
Philadelphia Union 2
Ocean City 1
Richmond Kickers 0
DC United 1
Real Salt Lake 3
Atlanta SC 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Charleston 1
Chivas USA 2
Orange County SC 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 0
North Carolina FC 2
FC Dallas 2
Fort Lauderdale Strikers 0
Tucson 0
Houston Dynamo 2
Tampa Bay 1
Seattle Sounders 0
Wilmington Hammerheads 1
Portland Timbers 5
1/8-finals
Chicago Fire 2
Columbus Crew 1
Sporting Kansas City 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 4
New York Red Bulls 2
Philadelphia Union 1
DC United 3
Real Salt Lake 5
Charleston 2
Chivas USA 1
North Carolina FC 3
FC Dallas 3
Houston Dynamo 0
Tampa Bay 0
Portland Timbers 2
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire 5
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 1
DC United 3
Real Salt Lake 3
North Carolina FC 0
FC Dallas 2
Portland Timbers 3
Semi-finals
Chicago Fire 0
DC United 2
Real Salt Lake 2
Portland Timbers 1
Final
DC United 1
Real Salt Lake 0