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Austin vs NTX Rayados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

US Open Cup 2014
Thu, May 15, 2014
4 - 5
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-5, with NTX Rayados advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Austin
15%
Draws
42%
NTX Rayados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • NTX Rayados haven't matched Austin's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Austin taking it.
  • Austin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NTX Rayados, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Austin Clean Sheet 14%
NTX Rayados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin NTX Rayados
Matches Played 41 13
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2014 US Open Cup
Austin vs NTX Rayados
4:5
May 15, 2013 US Open Cup
Austin vs NTX Rayados
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin 66 / 100
NTX Rayados 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin NTX Rayados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NTX Rayados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 13 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Austin scored in 73% of their last 41 outings.

Difficult form: NTX Rayados registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin VS NTX Rayados
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 3
Austin
18 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
3 : 2
Austin
10 Sept
Colorado Springs
3 : 0
Austin
06 Sept
Austin
2 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
30 Aug
Oklahoma City Energy FC
2 : 0
Austin
Page 1 of 9

NTX Rayados

(Away)
29 Jan
FC Dallas
3 : 0
NTX Rayados
15 May
Oklahoma City Energy FC
3 : 1
NTX Rayados
09 May
Little Rock Rangers
2 : 3
NTX Rayados
07 Jun
Houston Dynamo
5 : 0
NTX Rayados
24 May
NTX Rayados
3 : 2
FC Wichita
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltimore Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Icon -
LVU Rush 1
Portland Phoenix 0
TBD -
Penn Football Club -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians -
TBD -
TBD -
Jersey Express -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York Cosmos -
Rochester New York -
TBD -
Mass Premier 1
Western Pioneers 4
GBFC Thunder -
TBD -
TBD -
Reading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
TBD -
RVA -
Ocean City -
TBD -
TBD -
Greek American -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New England Revolution -
North Carolina FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina Fusion U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chivas USA -
Arizona United -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland (Capital) U23 -
Tulsa Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Oklahoma City Energy FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fort Lauderdale Strikers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Red Force 2
Colorado Rovers 1
TBD -
Laredo Heat -
San Antonio Scorpions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin -
TBD -
TBD -
NTX Rayados -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Atlanta SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wilmington Hammerheads -
TBD -
TBD -
Chattanooga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Orlando City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ocala Stampede -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dayton -
TBD -
TBD -
Schwaben -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
Vermont Voltage 1
New York Red Bulls U23 2
Michigan Bucks -
TBD -
Detroit City 2
RWB Adria 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura County -
TBD -
TBD -
Cal -
San Diego Flash -
Corinthians USA -
Los Angeles Misioneros 1
PSA Elite 2
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Aguiluchos 1
Ventura 2
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Fuego -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menace -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Colorado -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
Orlando City U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksonville United -
Panama City -
TBD -
TBD -
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/64-finals
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltimore Bohemians 4
Icon 1
LVU Rush 0
Penn Football Club 4
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians 4
Jersey Express 2
TBD -
New York Cosmos -
Rochester New York 2
Western Pioneers 1
GBFC Thunder 2
Reading 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
Richmond Kickers 6
RVA 1
Ocean City 0
Greek American 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New England Revolution -
North Carolina FC -
TBD -
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
Charlotte Eagles 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chivas USA -
Arizona United 3
Portland (Capital) U23 2
Tulsa Athletic 0
Oklahoma City Energy FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fort Lauderdale Strikers -
TBD -
Red Force 1
Laredo Heat 2
San Antonio Scorpions -
TBD -
Austin 4
NTX Rayados 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Atlanta SC -
TBD -
Wilmington Hammerheads 1
Chattanooga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Orlando City 4
Ocala Stampede 1
TBD -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dayton 2
Schwaben 0
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3
New York Red Bulls U23 1
Michigan Bucks 0
RWB Adria 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura County 6
Cal 1
San Diego Flash -
PSA Elite -
Sacramento Republic 2
Ventura 1
Orange County SC 0
Fuego 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menace 3
Real Colorado 0
TBD -
Minnesota United -
Orlando City U23 2
Jacksonville United 1
Panama City 0
Charleston 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/32-finals
Philadelphia Union -
TBD -
Baltimore Bohemians 2
Penn Football Club 4
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians 0
New York Cosmos 2
Rochester New York 2
Reading 1
TBD -
DC United -
Richmond Kickers 2
Greek American 1
TBD -
New England Revolution -
North Carolina FC 2
Charlotte Eagles 0
TBD -
Chivas USA -
Arizona United 2
Oklahoma City Energy FC 1
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
Fort Lauderdale Strikers 2
Laredo Heat 3
San Antonio Scorpions 4
NTX Rayados 2
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Atlanta SC 5
Chattanooga 0
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Orlando City 4
Tampa Bay 1
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
Dayton 2
Indy Eleven 5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3
RWB Adria 2
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Ventura County 0
PSA Elite 1
Sacramento Republic 6
Fuego 0
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
Menace 0
Minnesota United 1
Orlando City U23 3
Charleston 2
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
1/16-finals
Philadelphia Union 3
Penn Football Club 1
New York Red Bulls 0
New York Cosmos 3
Rochester New York 1
DC United 0
Richmond Kickers 2
New England Revolution 3
North Carolina FC 2
Chivas USA 1
Arizona United 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Houston Dynamo 1
Laredo Heat 0
San Antonio Scorpions 0
FC Dallas 2
Atlanta SC 2
Real Salt Lake 1
Orlando City 2
Colorado Rapids 5
Columbus Crew 2
Indy Eleven 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Chicago Fire 2
Seattle Sounders 5
PSA Elite 0
Sacramento Republic 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Sporting Kansas City 2
Minnesota United 0
Orlando City U23 0
Portland Timbers 3
1/8-finals
Philadelphia Union 2
New York Cosmos 1
Rochester New York 1
New England Revolution 2
North Carolina FC 1
Los Angeles Galaxy 0
Houston Dynamo 2
FC Dallas 3
Atlanta SC 2
Colorado Rapids 1
Columbus Crew 2
Chicago Fire 4
Seattle Sounders 2
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Sporting Kansas City 1
Portland Timbers 3
Quarter-finals
Philadelphia Union 2
New England Revolution 0
North Carolina FC 2
FC Dallas 5
Atlanta SC 1
Chicago Fire 3
Seattle Sounders 3
Portland Timbers 1
Semi-finals
FC Dallas 1
Philadelphia Union 2
Seattle Sounders 6
Chicago Fire 0
Final
Philadelphia Union 1
Seattle Sounders 3