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Stadium Background

Australia U16 vs Iraq U16

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Duzel L.
74' Event
Botic N.
80' Event
Qasim A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U16 2018 game between Australia U16 and Iraq U16 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Australia U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Australia U16
15%
Draws
28%
Iraq U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U16 come out ahead of Iraq U16 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Australia U16 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U16 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Australia U16 Clean Sheet 19%
Iraq U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U16 Iraq U16
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 20 19
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.79 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Australia U16 vs Iraq U16
2:1
Sep 26, 2012 AFC Championship U16
Iraq U16 vs Australia U16
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Duzel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Iraq U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U16 40 / 100
Iraq U16 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U16 Iraq U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U16 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Iraq U16 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Australia U16 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Australia U16 VS Iraq U16
2 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U16

(Home)
01 Jun
China U16
5 : 2
Australia U16
30 May
Australia U16
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia U16
28 May
Vietnam U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
03 Jul
Thailand U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U16

(Away)
22 Sept
Iraq U16
3 : 0
Kyrgyzstan U16
20 Sept
Lebanon U16
1 : 2
Iraq U16
18 Sept
Iraq U16
0 : 1
United Arab Emirates U16
28 Sept
Iraq U16
0 : 2
South Korea U16
25 Sept
Australia U16
2 : 1
Iraq U16
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U16 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Tajikistan U16 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
3 Malaysia U16 3 1 0 2 8:8 3
4 Thailand U16 3 1 0 2 7:9 3
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U16 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Oman U16 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Yemen U16 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Jordan U16 3 0 2 1 5:9 2
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U16 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 India U16 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Iran U16 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Vietnam U16 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U16 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Australia U16 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Iraq U16 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Afghanistan U16 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)