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Australia U16 W vs Thailand U16 W

Asia Asia

AFC Championship Women U16
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U16 W play Thailand U16 W in the AFC Championship Women U16. Australia U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Australia U16 W averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Thailand U16 W averaged 0.96 goals scored and 4.48 conceded. In past meetings, Australia U16 W won 2, Thailand U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 18, 2019 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Australia U16 W and 1.31 for Thailand U16 W. This points to a Australia U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Australia U16 W
15%
Draws
25%
Thailand U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Australia U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Thailand U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Australia U16 W Clean Sheet 18%
Thailand U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U16 W Thailand U16 W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.91 4.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2019 AFC Championship Women U16
Australia U16 W vs Thailand U16 W
6:1
Nov 10, 2011 AFC Championship Women U16
Thailand U16 W vs Australia U16 W
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U16 W 58 / 100
Thailand U16 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U16 W Thailand U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Australia U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Australia U16 W attacking → ← attacking Thailand U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U16 W scored in 61% of their last 23 games.

Thailand U16 W let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Australia U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thailand U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 19
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U16 W321017:07
2Australia U16 W31208:35
3Thailand U16 W31022:143
4Bangladesh U16 W30122:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U16 W330017:09
2China U16 W32013:46
3South Korea U16 W31023:53
4Vietnam U16 W30030:140