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Australia U19 vs Mongolia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Shuangliu Sports Center, Chengdu
Tue, Nov 19, 2024
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U19 host Mongolia U19 in the Friendly International 2024. This has Australia U19 written all over it on paper. Mongolia U19 have shipped 4.83 goals a game lately, while Australia U19 have conceded 0.85 and scored 3.15. Past meetings favor Australia U19 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.79 - 0.88) back Australia U19 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Australia U19
15%
Draws
27%
Mongolia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U19 come out ahead of Mongolia U19 on wins alone.
  • Australia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Australia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Mongolia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U19 Mongolia U19
Matches Played 27 6
Wins 21 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 3.15 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.85 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Australia U19 vs Mongolia U19
0:0
Oct 5, 2013 AFC Championship U19
Mongolia U19 vs Australia U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U19 85 / 100
Mongolia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U19 Mongolia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia U19 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Mongolia U19 let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Australia U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Mongolia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U19 VS Mongolia U19
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Thailand U19
0 : 2
Australia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
09 Jun
Australia U19
2 : 2
Cambodia U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
29 Jul
Australia U19
2 : 1
Malaysia U19
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Mongolia U19

(Away)
10 Nov
Mongolia U19
4 : 3
Guam U19
08 Nov
Mongolia U19
0 : 9
Japan U19
06 Nov
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Mongolia U19
08 Nov
Singapore U19
2 : 4
Mongolia U19
06 Nov
Mongolia U19
2 : 5
Thailand U19
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