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Australia U19 W vs Thailand U19 W

Asia Asia

AFC Championship Women U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U19 W play Thailand U19 W in the AFC Championship Women U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Australia U19 W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.46 conceded. Thailand U19 W averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. In past meetings, Australia U19 W won 1, Thailand U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Australia U19 W and 2.13 for Thailand U19 W. This points to a Australia U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Australia U19 W
15%
Draws
33%
Thailand U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Australia U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Thailand U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Australia U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U19 W Thailand U19 W
Matches Played 26 16
Wins 8 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 AFC Championship Women U19
Australia U19 W vs Thailand U19 W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nevin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thailand U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aupachai P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U19 W 49 / 100
Thailand U19 W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U19 W Thailand U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Australia U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Australia U19 W attacking → ← attacking Thailand U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U19 W scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Thailand U19 W let in goals in 100% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Australia U19 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thailand U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 14
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U19 W330011:29
2Australia U19 W32015:66
3Vietnam U19 W31022:43
4Thailand U19 W30032:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U19 W33009:19
2South Korea U19 W32013:36
3China U19 W31027:53
4Myanmar U19 W30031:110