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Australia U23 vs China U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 Logo

Australia U23

0 - 0
FT
China U23 Logo

China U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Australia U23
20%
Draws
52%
China U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Australia U23's 2.32 goals per match outpaces what China U23 have produced (1.41).
  • Australia U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
China U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 China U23
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
China U23 vs Australia U23
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs China U23
0:0
Nov 2, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs China U23
0:0
Nov 15, 2019 Friendly International
China U23 vs Australia U23
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 36 / 100
China U23 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 China U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U23's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Australia U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

China U23 let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS China U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

China U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0
Tajikistan U23
06 Jun
China U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams