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Australia W vs Malawi W

World World

Friendly International Women Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
van Egmond E.
Assist: Nevin C.
37'
Torpey K.
39'
Raso H.

AI Match Summary

Australia W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Australia W
15%
Draws
42%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Malawi W haven't matched Australia W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Australia W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Australia W Clean Sheet 68%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia W Malawi W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs Malawi W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Egmond E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Malawi W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia W 86 / 100
Malawi W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Malawi W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Australia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia W VS Malawi W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
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Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
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