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Austria vs Romania

World World

World Championship 2026 Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gregoritsch M.
44'
Stanciu N.
60' Event
Sabitzer M.
Assist: Schmid R.

AI Match Summary

Austria in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Austria
20%
Draws
40%
Romania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Romania haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Austria Clean Sheet 20%
Romania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Romania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Romania vs Austria
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 World Championship
Austria vs Romania
2:1
Oct 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Austria
0:1
Sep 7, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Romania
2:3
Jun 5, 2012 Friendly International
Austria vs Romania
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabitzer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Romania Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanase F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 32 / 100
Romania 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Romania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Romania let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Austria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Romania
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

Romania

(Away)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0
Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0
Romania
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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