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Austria vs Tunisia

World World

Friendly International Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Laimer K.
46'
Sub
Arnautovic M. In: Kalajdzic S.
Out: Arnautovic M.
46'
Sub
Alaba D. In: Danso K.
Out: Alaba D.

AI Match Summary

Austria in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Austria
15%
Draws
0%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tunisia haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Austria taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Austria Clean Sheet 16%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Tunisia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Friendly International
Austria vs Tunisia
1:0
Nov 21, 2007 Friendly International
Austria vs Tunisia
0:0
May 27, 1998 Friendly International
Austria vs Tunisia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabitzer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tunisia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 84 / 100
Tunisia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Tunisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Tunisia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tunisia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Austria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Tunisia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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Tunisia

(Away)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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