Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austria vs Turkey

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Demiral M.
11'
Kokcu O.
38'
Schmid R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Turkey advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Austria
15%
Draws
48%
Turkey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria haven't matched Turkey's recent run of results.
  • Turkey are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Turkey arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Turkey, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Austria Clean Sheet 18%
Turkey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Turkey
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2024 Euro
Austria vs Turkey
1:2
Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Austria vs Turkey
6:1
Mar 30, 2020 Friendly International
Austria vs Turkey
0:0
Mar 29, 2016 Friendly International
Austria vs Turkey
1:2
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Austria vs Turkey
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoritsch M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Demiral M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 23 / 100
Turkey 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Turkey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Austria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Turkey
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

Turkey

(Away)
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spain 4
Georgia 1
Germany 2
Denmark 0
Portugal 1
Slovenia 0
France 1
Belgium 0
Romania 0
Netherlands 3
Austria 1
Turkey 2
England 2
Slovakia 1
Switzerland 2
Italy 0
Quarter-finals
Spain 2
Germany 1
Portugal 0
France 1
Netherlands 2
Turkey 1
England 2
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
Spain 2
France 1
Netherlands 1
England 2
Final
Spain 2
England 1