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Austria Vienna (Am) vs Hogo Hertha Wels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Generali Arena, Vienna
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austria Vienna (Am) host Hogo Hertha Wels in the 2. Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Austria Vienna (Am) have averaged 1.78 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Hogo Hertha Wels's 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Austria Vienna (Am) slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Austria Vienna (Am). The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Austria Vienna (Am)
15%
Draws
26%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria Vienna (Am)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria Vienna (Am) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Austria Vienna (Am) a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Austria Vienna (Am) Clean Sheet 18%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna (Am) Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.78 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. Liga
Austria Vienna (Am) vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Austria Vienna (Am)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna (Am) 76 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna (Am) Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Vienna (Am) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna (Am) scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Hogo Hertha Wels let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Austria Vienna (Am) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hogo Hertha Wels's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Austria Vienna (Am) VS Hogo Hertha Wels
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria Vienna (Am)

(Home)
20 Sept
Austria Vienna (Am)
4 : 1
Rapid Vienna II
11 Sept
Amstetten
4 : 2
Austria Vienna (Am)
29 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 0
SW Bregenz
21 Aug
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
15 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
3 : 1
A. Salzburg
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Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)