Sport Picks

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Auto Esporte vs Serrano PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auto Esporte host Serrano PB in the Paraibano 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Auto Esporte at 1.5 goals for, 0.93 against; Serrano PB at 1.04 for, 2.46 against. Past meetings favor Serrano PB slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2018, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.46 - 1.29) back Auto Esporte to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Auto Esporte
35%
Draws
30%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auto Esporte lately — more wins on the board than Serrano PB.
  • Serrano PB are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serrano PB here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 19%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auto Esporte Serrano PB
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2018 Paraibano
Serrano PB vs Auto Esporte
2:1
Jan 20, 2018 Paraibano
Auto Esporte vs Serrano PB
1:2
Mar 5, 2017 Paraibano
Auto Esporte vs Serrano PB
1:0
Jan 11, 2017 Paraibano
Serrano PB vs Auto Esporte
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auto Esporte 28 / 100
Serrano PB 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auto Esporte Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Auto Esporte's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Auto Esporte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auto Esporte VS Serrano PB
1.17 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auto Esporte

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
12 Sept
Femar
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
22 Feb
Serra Branca
5 : 1
Auto Esporte
16 Feb
Nacional PB
3 : 1
Auto Esporte
Page 1 of 6

Serrano PB

(Away)
20 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Sport PB
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Guarabira 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Auto Esporte 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Spartax 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
4 Picuiense 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
5 Santa Rita 3 1 0 2 1:8 3
6 Serrano PB 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
7 Sao Paulo Crystal 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
8 Sport PB 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Cruzeiro-PB 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
10 Femar 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)