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Auxerre vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mara S.
45'
Sbai A.
45'
Sbai A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Auxerre and Angers finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auxerre
6%
Draws
4%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angers come out ahead of Auxerre on wins alone.
  • Auxerre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 68%
Angers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Angers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mara S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinayoko L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Angers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 95 / 100
Angers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angers let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Auxerre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Auxerre found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Angers
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
17 May
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
10 May
Auxerre
2 : 1
Nice
03 May
Auxerre
3 : 1
Angers
25 Apr
Lyon
3 : 2
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

Angers

(Away)
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
10 May
Angers
1 : 1
Strasbourg
03 May
Auxerre
3 : 1
Angers
25 Apr
Angers
0 : 3
PSG
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)