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Auxerre vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mara S.
45'
Sbai A.
45'
Sbai A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Auxerre and Angers finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Auxerre
15%
Draws
46%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angers come out ahead of Auxerre on wins alone.
  • Angers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 12%
Angers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Angers
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:3
May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mara S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinayoko L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Angers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 27 / 100
Angers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Angers conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auxerre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Angers
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

Angers

(Away)
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)