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Auxerre vs Nantes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre Logo

Auxerre

0 - 0
FT
Nantes Logo

Nantes

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ganago I.
16'
Lepenant J.
67'
Sub
Namaso D. In: Mara S.
Out: Namaso D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Auxerre and Nantes finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Auxerre
15%
Draws
34%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 16%
Nantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Nantes
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nantes
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Auxerre
1:0
May 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nantes
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Auxerre
2:0
Apr 16, 2023 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nantes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 36 / 100
Nantes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Nantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Nantes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Nantes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

Nantes

(Away)
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Laval
2 : 1
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)