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Auxerre vs Nice

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Danois K.
71'
Sub
Labeau Lascary R. In: Faivre R.
Out: Labeau Lascary R.
72'
Sub
Nkounkou N. In: Abdi A.
Out: Nkounkou N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Auxerre and Nice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Auxerre
35%
Draws
28%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nice come out ahead of Auxerre on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Nice
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
1:0
May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Auxerre
3:1
Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Auxerre
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 32 / 100
Nice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Nice let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auxerre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Nice
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rennes 4 3 1 0 8:5 10
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Lyon 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
5 Lille 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
10 Lens 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
14 PSG 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)