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Auxerre vs Nice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
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Match Events

44'
Danois K.
71'
Sub
Labeau Lascary R. In: Faivre R.
Out: Labeau Lascary R.
72'
Sub
Nkounkou N. In: Abdi A.
Out: Nkounkou N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Auxerre and Nice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Auxerre
15%
Draws
40%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auxerre come out ahead of Nice on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 15%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Nice
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
1:0
May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Auxerre
3:1
Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Auxerre
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Nice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 41 / 100
Nice 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Nice let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auxerre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Nice
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 8 5 2 1 16:9 17
2 Rennes 8 5 1 2 18:14 16
3 Lille 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Lens 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
9 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
10 Nice 8 3 2 3 8:10 11
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 8 0 2 6 8:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)