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Auxerre W vs Nice W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Auxerre W
15%
Draws
26%
Nice W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nice W haven't matched Auxerre W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Auxerre W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Auxerre W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auxerre W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 19%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Nice W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Nice W
5:1
Sep 13, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Nice W
2:0
May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Nice W
0:3
Feb 1, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Auxerre W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 85 / 100
Nice W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Nice W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Auxerre W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Nice W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Auxerre W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Nice W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
21 Oct
Auxerre W
5 : 1
Nice W
17 Oct
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Auxerre W
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
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Nice W

(Away)
21 Oct
Auxerre W
5 : 1
Nice W
17 Oct
Grenoble W
1 : 0
Nice W
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0
Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)