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AV Alta FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

USA USA

USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Aoumaich A.
Assist: Bahena Jr C.
20' Event
Adewole T.
Assist: Hernandez O.
26' Event
Hernandez O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AV Alta FC
44%
Draws
20%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves have won more games recently than AV Alta FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 20%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AV Alta FC Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aoumaich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Adewole T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 36 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AV Alta FC Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Chattanooga Red Wolves has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

AV Alta FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

(Home)
18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3
AV Alta FC
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
02 Jul
Union Omaha
3 : 1
AV Alta FC
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Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
01 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 0
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville16103330:1633
2Union Omaha17102527:2032
3Charlotte Independence1593336:2230
4AV Alta FC1877426:2128
5Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
6Fort Wayne1676324:1427
7Forward Madison1482426:1426
8Spokane Velocity1682619:2126
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1481527:1725
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Corpus Christi FC1747620:2619
12Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1643925:2515
15Greenville Triumph1442814:2414
16Richmond Kickers16331012:3012
17New York Cosmos15321017:3311
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)