Sport Picks
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA 
Match Events
31'
31'
Mesias A.
45'
45'
Acuna J.
Assist: Higareda S.
45'
45'
Relerford N.
AI Match Summary
FC Naples in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Naples.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Naples
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- FC Naples haven't matched AV Alta FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Naples a 74% chance of winning this.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 15%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AV Alta FC | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
1:2
Aug 5, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs AV Alta FC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs AV Alta FC
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AV Alta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Acuna J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
FC Naples Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Likulia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
FC Naples 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AV Alta FC FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
AV Alta FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: FC Naples conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: AV Alta FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AV Alta FC VS FC Naples
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AV Alta FC
(Home) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 3
FC Naples
(Away) 11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
