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AV Alta FC vs Fort Wayne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA
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Match Events

37' Event
Desdunes J.
45'
Smith J.
47'
Villalobos J.

AI Match Summary

AV Alta FC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
AV Alta FC
35%
Draws
58%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fort Wayne lately — more wins on the board than AV Alta FC.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Fort Wayne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AV Alta FC Fort Wayne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Fort Wayne
3:0
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs AV Alta FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Desdunes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Fort Wayne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 10 / 100
Fort Wayne 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AV Alta FC Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fort Wayne has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

AV Alta FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Fort Wayne
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

(Home)
11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2
Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Fort Wayne

(Away)
10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1
Fort Wayne
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)