Sport Picks
AV Alta FC vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA 
Match Events
4'
4'
Liadi A.
Assist: Nour M.
36'
36'
Liadi A.
38'
38'
Winum M.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between AV Alta FC and Greenville Triumph finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greenville Triumph
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- AV Alta FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- AV Alta FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 15%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AV Alta FC | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs AV Alta FC
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
May 17, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs AV Alta FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AV Alta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bahena Jr C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aoumaich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Liadi A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AV Alta FC 48 / 100
Greenville Triumph 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AV Alta FC Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AV Alta FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greenville Triumph has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Greenville Triumph lost 5 of their last 5 games.
AV Alta FC scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
AV Alta FC VS Greenville Triumph
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AV Alta FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0 Westchester SC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 3
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
