Sport Picks
AV Alta FC vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA 
Match Events
5'
5'
Murphy Jr. J.
Assist: Baker T.
21'
21'
Aoumaich I.
Assist: Desdunes J.
37'
37'
Aoumaich I.
AI Match Summary
One Knoxville in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored One Knoxville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- AV Alta FC haven't matched One Knoxville's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans One Knoxville's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors One Knoxville here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 13%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AV Alta FC | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs One Knoxville
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs AV Alta FC
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs One Knoxville
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AV Alta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Aoumaich I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy Jr. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Conway E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
One Knoxville 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AV Alta FC One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
One Knoxville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
One Knoxville's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
AV Alta FC VS One Knoxville
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AV Alta FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0 Westchester SC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
