Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Lancaster Municipal Stadium

AV Alta FC

2 - 1

Phoenix Rising

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Aoumaich A.

(Penalty)

24'

Moursou J.

32'

Bahena Jr C.

Assist: Thomas R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AV Alta FC in this USL Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AV Alta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

AV Alta FC

17%

Draws

13%

Phoenix Rising

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

AV Alta FC have won more games recently than Phoenix Rising.
Model gives AV Alta FC a 70% chance of winning this.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 20%

Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AV Alta FC	Phoenix Rising
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	9	8
Draws	11	7
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup

AV Alta FC vs Phoenix Rising

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahena Jr C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Studenhofft G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 67 / 100

Phoenix Rising 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AV Alta FC Phoenix Rising

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Phoenix Rising's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AV Alta FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Phoenix Rising

1.5 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spokane Velocity	4	3	1	6:6	9
2	Sacramento Republic	4	3	1	7:3	8
3	Athletic Club Boise	4	3	1	9:6	8
4	Oakland Roots	4	1	3	4:6	4
5	Las Vegas Lights	4	1	3	4:7	4
6	Monterey Bay	4	1	3	8:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	New Mexico	4	3	1	8:5	9
3	El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	5:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	4	2	2	5:6	6
5	Phoenix Rising	4	1	3	3:8	3
6	Orange County SC	4	0	4	3:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	4	4	0	6:1	11
2	Birmingham Legion	4	3	1	8:3	9
3	One Knoxville	4	3	1	6:4	6
4	FC Tulsa	4	1	3	4:7	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	4	1	3	2:6	4
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	4	0	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	4	4	0	13:4	11
2	Detroit City	4	2	2	4:4	8
3	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
4	Lexington	4	2	2	8:8	6
5	Union Omaha	4	2	2	10:12	6
6	Forward Madison	4	1	3	6:10	3
7	Fort Wayne	4	0	4	6:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	4	3	1	8:3	10
2	Rhode Island	4	3	1	7:3	7
3	Brooklyn FC	4	2	2	9:5	7
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	2	2	7:10	6
5	New York Cosmos	4	1	3	5:11	4
6	Westchester SC	4	1	3	6:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	4	4	0	8:4	10
2	Charleston	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4	2	2	6:3	8
4	Greenville Triumph	4	1	3	4:7	3
5	Loudoun United	4	1	3	4:7	3
6	Richmond Kickers	4	1	3	3:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Miami FC	4	3	1	11:5	9
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	4	1	3	2:9	3
5	FC Naples	4	1	3	3:9	2