Sport Picks

AV Alta FC vs Phoenix Rising Prediction & H2H Stats

USA

USL Cup Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA

AV Alta FC

2 - 1

Phoenix Rising

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Aoumaich A.

(Penalty)

24'

Moursou J.

32'

Bahena Jr C.

Assist: Thomas R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

AV Alta FC

15%

Draws

85%

Phoenix Rising

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phoenix Rising

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Not much separates AV Alta FC and Phoenix Rising on recent form.
Model gives Phoenix Rising a 85% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor AV Alta FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 13%

Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AV Alta FC	Phoenix Rising
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	5	6
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.24	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup

AV Alta FC vs Phoenix Rising

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahena Jr C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Studenhofft G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 22 / 100

Phoenix Rising 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AV Alta FC Phoenix Rising

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phoenix Rising Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Phoenix Rising conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

AV Alta FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Phoenix Rising lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Phoenix Rising

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

2 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AV Alta FC

(Home)

03 Oct

Westchester SC

2 : 1

AV Alta FC

19 Sept

Forward Madison

3 : 0

AV Alta FC

13 Sept

Portland Hearts of Pine

1 : 0

AV Alta FC

06 Sept

AV Alta FC

1 : 2

One Knoxville

28 Aug

Charlotte Independence

5 : 0

AV Alta FC

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Phoenix Rising

(Away)

04 Oct

New Mexico

2 : 1

Phoenix Rising

27 Sept

Oakland Roots

3 : 0

Phoenix Rising

20 Sept

Phoenix Rising

1 : 3

El Paso Locomotive

13 Sept

Phoenix Rising

2 : 1

FC Tulsa

06 Sept

Monterey Bay

1 : 1

Phoenix Rising

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