Sport Picks
AV Alta FC vs Sarasota Paradise
USA
USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA 
Match Events
5'
5'
Bahena Jr C.
Assist: Desdunes J.
18'
18'
Ortiz C.
Assist: Desdunes J.
51'
51'
Sub
Jahng E. In: Lay O.
Out: Jahng E.
AI Match Summary
AV Alta FC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AV Alta FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarasota Paradise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Sarasota Paradise haven't matched AV Alta FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sarasota Paradise's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AV Alta FC | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Sarasota Paradise
3:1
May 16, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AV Alta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bahena Jr C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Burlew R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AV Alta FC Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Attacking prowess: AV Alta FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Sarasota Paradise conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
AV Alta FC VS Sarasota Paradise
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AV Alta FC
(Home) 19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
AV Alta FC
0 : 0 Westchester SC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 3
Sarasota Paradise
(Away) 19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
08 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50:30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50:26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 10 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
