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Avai U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kevin
70' Event
Pastri G.
71' Event
Karlos

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Avai U20 and Joinville U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Avai U20
17%
Draws
13%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Joinville U20 haven't matched Avai U20's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Avai U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:0
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:4
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Joinville U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai U20 67 / 100
Joinville U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai U20 Joinville U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Avai U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Joinville U20 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Avai U20 VS Joinville U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai U201486032:1030
2Barra FC U201493234:1730
3Criciuma U201485122:729
4Chapecoense-SC U201482430:2126
5Figueirense U201555521:2020
6Nacao U201553728:2518
7Concordia U201553714:2218
8Carlos Renaux U201443714:2715
9Joinville U201423911:279
10Brusque U2015111314:444