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Avai U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kevin
70' Event
Pastri G.
71' Event
Karlos

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Avai U20 and Joinville U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Avai U20
15%
Draws
34%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Joinville U20 haven't matched Avai U20's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Avai U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
2:1
May 9, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:0
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:4
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Joinville U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai U20 85 / 100
Joinville U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai U20 Joinville U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai U20 scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Joinville U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avai U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai U20 VS Joinville U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai U20

(Home)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
Page 1 of 8

Joinville U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)