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Avai vs Carlos Renaux Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
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Match Events

28'
Sub
Batista R. F. In: Zamora Y.
Out: Batista R. F.
37'
Sub
Willian Mococa In: Ruan
Out: Willian Mococa
45'
Zamora Y.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Avai and Carlos Renaux finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Avai
20%
Draws
73%
Carlos Renaux
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carlos Renaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carlos Renaux come out ahead of Avai on wins alone.
  • Model gives Carlos Renaux a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Avai Clean Sheet 23%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Carlos Renaux
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Catarinense
Avai vs Carlos Renaux
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Baldini
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Carlos Renaux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 21 / 100
Carlos Renaux 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Carlos Renaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Renaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Carlos Renaux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Avai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Carlos Renaux

(Away)
06 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 4
Carlos Renaux
26 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Joinville
14 Feb
Joinville
3 : 0
Carlos Renaux
09 Feb
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Carlos Renaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)