Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avai vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Otero R.
46' Event
De Sena Araujo F. M.
49' Event
Paulo Vitor
Assist: Douglas Teixeira

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Avai
20%
Draws
52%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma have won more games recently than Avai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Avai Clean Sheet 19%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Criciuma
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Avai
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Criciuma
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Avai
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Catarinense
Avai vs Criciuma
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Otero R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Sena Araujo F. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 32 / 100
Criciuma 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avai scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Avai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Criciuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Criciuma
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
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Criciuma

(Away)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 20 11 7 2 23:12 40
2 EC Juventude 20 10 5 5 22:12 35
3 Operario-PR 21 10 5 6 29:28 35
4 Fortaleza 20 10 4 6 23:19 34
5 Vila Nova FC 20 10 4 6 27:24 34
6 Novorizontino 20 9 6 5 32:19 33
7 Atletico GO 20 8 7 5 23:20 31
8 Sao Bernardo 21 8 6 7 31:24 30
9 CRB 20 8 5 7 31:32 29
10 Goias 20 8 5 7 21:26 29
11 Sport Recife 20 6 11 3 25:19 29
12 Athletic Club 20 6 10 4 19:18 28
13 Nautico 20 7 4 9 24:24 25
14 Cuiaba 20 5 10 5 15:15 25
15 Botafogo SP 20 6 6 8 24:21 24
16 Ceara 20 5 7 8 20:25 22
17 Londrina 20 5 5 10 27:31 20
18 Avai 20 5 5 10 21:27 20
19 America MG 20 2 5 13 14:31 11
20 Ponte Preta 20 2 3 15 15:39 9
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)