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Avaldsnes W vs Tromso W Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2024 Avaldsnes Idrettssenter, Avaldsnes
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Troan M.
63' Event
Jorgensen L.
90' Event
Svandal K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 Women 2024 game between Avaldsnes W and Tromso W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avaldsnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Avaldsnes W
20%
Draws
28%
Tromso W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avaldsnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tromso W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Avaldsnes W Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avaldsnes W Tromso W
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.21 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Division 1 Women
Avaldsnes W vs Tromso W
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Division 1 Women
Avaldsnes W vs Tromso W
2:1
May 5, 2024 Division 1 Women
Tromso W vs Avaldsnes W
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Division 1 Women
Avaldsnes W vs Tromso W
1:2
Nov 22, 2023 Division 1 Women
Tromso W vs Avaldsnes W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avaldsnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svandal K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tromso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Troan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avaldsnes W 30 / 100
Tromso W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avaldsnes W Tromso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avaldsnes W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Avaldsnes W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

Tromso W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tromso W
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avaldsnes W

(Home)
16 Nov
Avaldsnes W
1 : 0
Tromso W
10 Nov
Kil/Hemne W
0 : 2
Avaldsnes W
02 Nov
Avaldsnes W
0 : 0
Odds BK W
20 Oct
Avaldsnes W
3 : 0
Ovrevoll Hosle W
12 Oct
Fyllingsdalen W
0 : 1
Avaldsnes W
Page 1 of 3

Tromso W

(Away)
27 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 3
Arna-Bjornar W
20 Sept
Grei W
3 : 2
Tromso W
16 Sept
Porsanger W
0 : 5
Tromso W
13 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 2
Kolbotn W
05 Sept
Klepp W
0 : 2
Tromso W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honefoss W 18 14 3 1 49:15 45
2 Aalesund W 18 12 4 2 45:10 40
3 Bodo/Glimt W 18 12 1 5 31:16 37
4 Viking W 18 7 3 8 21:29 24
5 Fyllingsdalen W 18 6 2 10 20:38 20
6 Kil/Hemne W 18 5 4 9 22:30 19
7 Ovrevoll Hosle W 18 4 7 7 21:38 19
8 Avaldsnes W 18 5 3 10 18:32 18
9 Odds BK W 18 5 2 11 20:27 17
10 Tromso W 18 4 3 11 18:30 15
11 Arna-Bjornar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2024 (Relegation Group)