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Stadium Background

Avangard Petropavlovsk vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2007 game between Avangard Petropavlovsk and Tobol 2 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avangard Petropavlovsk
6%
Draws
4%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avangard Petropavlovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avangard Petropavlovsk come out ahead of Tobol 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avangard Petropavlovsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Avangard Petropavlovsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Avangard Petropavlovsk Clean Sheet 19%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avangard Petropavlovsk Tobol 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2007 First League
Avangard Petropavlovsk vs Tobol 2
3:3
Jun 17, 2007 First League
Tobol 2 vs Avangard Petropavlovsk
2:4
Aug 27, 2006 First League
Avangard Petropavlovsk vs Tobol 2
2:1
Jun 29, 2006 First League
Tobol 2 vs Avangard Petropavlovsk
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avangard Petropavlovsk 85 / 100
Tobol 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avangard Petropavlovsk Tobol 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avangard Petropavlovsk scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Tobol 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Solid form: Avangard Petropavlovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avangard Petropavlovsk VS Tobol 2
1.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210