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Avantul Periam vs Baile Felix

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avantul Periam play Baile Felix in the Liga 3 - Seria 9. Baile Felix are favorites here. Recently, Avantul Periam averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Baile Felix averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. In past meetings, Avantul Periam won 1, Baile Felix won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Avantul Periam and 0.99 for Baile Felix. This points to a Baile Felix double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Avantul Periam
18%
Draws
59%
Baile Felix
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Baile Felix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Avantul Periam picked up more points recently compared to Baile Felix.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Avantul Periam Clean Sheet 23%
Baile Felix Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avantul Periam Baile Felix
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.95

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Avantul Periam vs Baile Felix
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Baile Felix vs Avantul Periam
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Avantul Periam vs Baile Felix
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Baile Felix vs Avantul Periam
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avantul Periam 25 / 100
Baile Felix 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avantul Periam Baile Felix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baile Felix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Baile Felix & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avantul Periam attacking → ← attacking Baile Felix

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avantul Periam scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Baile Felix let in goals in 55% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Avantul Periam went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Baile Felix lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Politehnica Timisoara18104431:1234
2Minerul Lupeni1888227:1632
3Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii1894529:2531
4Progresul Pecica1894520:1931
5Peciu Nou1893640:2030
6Baile Felix1881916:1525
7Viitorul Arad1855814:2320
8Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei1854919:2919
9Timisul Sag18611118:2919
10Avantul Periam18241214:4010