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Avarta vs Holstebro

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bursac N.
29' Event
Balck M.
42' Event
Iversen A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Avarta and Holstebro finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Avarta
11%
Draws
9%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Avarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Holstebro's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Avarta have produced (0.75).
  • Win probability leans Avarta's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Avarta Clean Sheet 20%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avarta Holstebro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:5
May 3, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
6:3
Nov 10, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bursac N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iversen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clemmensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avarta 76 / 100
Holstebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avarta Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Avarta scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Avarta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avarta VS Holstebro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Avarta

(Home)
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
06 Jun
Avarta
1 : 1
Sundby
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Holstebro

(Away)
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
21 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 5
Thisted FC
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