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Avarta vs Holstebro Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bursac N.
29' Event
Balck M.
42' Event
Iversen A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Avarta and Holstebro finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Avarta
15%
Draws
28%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Avarta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Avarta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Avarta Clean Sheet 16%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avarta Holstebro
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:5
May 3, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
6:3
Nov 10, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Holstebro
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Avarta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bursac N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balck M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iversen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clemmensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avarta 57 / 100
Holstebro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avarta Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avarta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Avarta scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Holstebro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avarta VS Holstebro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Avarta

(Home)
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
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Holstebro

(Away)
26 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 3
Ishoj IF
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
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