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Aveley vs Brentwood

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Sach B.
86' Event
Nwabueze J.
90' Event
Cole A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Brentwood in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aveley
30%
Draws
34%
Brentwood
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aveley lately — more wins on the board than Brentwood.
  • Aveley are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Aveley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brentwood, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Brentwood
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Brentwood
1:4
Nov 28, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Aveley
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Brentwood
1:1
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Brentwood vs Aveley
4:1
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Brentwood vs Aveley
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwabueze J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Sach B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 34 / 100
Brentwood 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Brentwood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Brentwood has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Aveley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Brentwood
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
25 Jul
Brightlingsea
1 : 5
Aveley
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Braintree
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4
Leiston
07 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Folkestone
Page 1 of 7

Brentwood

(Away)
25 Jul
Canvey Island
3 : 4
Brentwood
11 Jul
Brentwood
2 : 3
Hullbridge
04 May
Billericay
2 : 1
Brentwood
29 Apr
Aveley
1 : 4
Brentwood
25 Apr
Brentwood
2 : 2
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Billericay3
Chatham2
Aveley1
Brentwood4
Final
Billericay2
Brentwood1