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Aveley vs Brentwood

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Sach B.
86' Event
Nwabueze J.
90' Event
Cole A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Brentwood in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aveley
15%
Draws
51%
Brentwood
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brentwood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aveley lately — more wins on the board than Brentwood.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Aveley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brentwood, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aveley Clean Sheet 11%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Brentwood
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.18 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Aveley vs Brentwood
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Brentwood
1:4
Nov 28, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Aveley
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Brentwood
1:1
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Brentwood vs Aveley
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwabueze J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Sach B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 30 / 100
Brentwood 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Brentwood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Brentwood's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Aveley has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Brentwood
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
Page 1 of 7

Brentwood

(Away)
22 Sept
Brentwood
5 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
15 Sept
Brentwood
2 : 3
Stanway Rovers
12 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 1
Brentwood
08 Sept
Brentwood
4 : 2
Concord Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Billericay 3
Chatham 2
Aveley 1
Brentwood 4
Final
Billericay 2
Brentwood 1