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Aveley vs Chatham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Mampolo F.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Aveley and Chatham finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aveley
15%
Draws
51%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham haven't matched Aveley's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aveley have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aveley Clean Sheet 12%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Chatham
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Chatham
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Aveley
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Chatham
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Mampolo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chatham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 30 / 100
Chatham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Chatham let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Chatham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Chatham
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
19 Oct
Aveley
1 : 2
Maldon & Tiptree
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1
Aveley
06 Oct
Cheshunt
2 : 1
Aveley
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
Page 1 of 7

Chatham

(Away)
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
10 Oct
Chatham
3 : 0
Brentwood
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 12 8 0 4 19:14 24
5 Carshalton 14 7 1 6 21:24 22
6 Ramsgate 12 6 1 5 27:17 19
7 Eastbourne Borough 10 6 1 3 19:11 19
8 Burgess Hill 11 4 5 2 20:15 17
9 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
10 Dulwich Hamlet 11 5 2 4 20:16 17
11 Wingate & Finchley 11 5 2 4 20:21 17
12 Chatham 10 5 0 5 19:14 15
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 13 4 3 6 20:22 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 10 3 0 7 15:19 9
20 Three Bridges 12 2 3 7 23:34 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 11 1 1 9 9:30 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)