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Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bennett J.
68' Event
Kymani T.
87' Event
Eastman T.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Aveley and Maldon & Tiptree finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldon & Tiptree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aveley
20%
Draws
40%
Maldon & Tiptree
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aveley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Maldon & Tiptree have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aveley Clean Sheet 18%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Maldon & Tiptree
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Kymani T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Maldon & Tiptree Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eastman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 32 / 100
Maldon & Tiptree 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Maldon & Tiptree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Maldon & Tiptree let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Maldon & Tiptree has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Maldon & Tiptree
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
19 Oct
Aveley
1 : 2
Maldon & Tiptree
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1
Aveley
06 Oct
Cheshunt
2 : 1
Aveley
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
Page 1 of 7

Maldon & Tiptree

(Away)
19 Oct
Aveley
1 : 2
Maldon & Tiptree
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
10 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 2
Whyteleafe
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
9 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
10 Burgess Hill 11 4 5 2 20:15 17
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 13 4 3 6 20:22 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)