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Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kashket S.
27' Event
Aromolaran T.
39' Event
Kashket S.

AI Match Summary

Wingate & Finchley in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wingate & Finchley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aveley
20%
Draws
58%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than Wingate & Finchley.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Wingate & Finchley taking it.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aveley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
3:4
Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0
Aug 27, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Aromolaran T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saunders G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashket S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oupoh D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 26 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Wingate & Finchley has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aveley stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Wingate & Finchley
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
06 Oct
Cheshunt
2 : 1
Aveley
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 10 8 0 2 20:9 24
2 Enfield Town 9 7 0 2 25:12 21
3 Dartford 10 7 0 3 16:11 21
4 Carshalton 11 7 0 4 18:19 21
5 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
6 Ramsgate 10 5 1 4 23:14 16
7 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
8 Eastbourne Borough 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
9 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
10 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
11 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Cheshunt 10 2 5 3 9:13 11
15 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
16 Aveley 10 3 1 6 17:18 10
17 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
18 Maldon & Tiptree 11 3 0 8 14:31 9
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 9 1 1 7 7:23 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)