Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Petriccione J.
10'
10'
Russo R.
29'
29'
Sounas D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Avellino and Catanzaro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avellino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Catanzaro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Avellino's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Catanzaro have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avellino | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 4.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Avellino
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Avellino vs Catanzaro
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Avellino
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Catanzaro vs Avellino
4:1
Nov 16, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Catanzaro vs Avellino
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avellino Compare
Top Goalscorer Iannarilli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31
Catanzaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Iemmello P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avellino 95 / 100
Catanzaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avellino Catanzaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Avellino found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Catanzaro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Avellino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avellino VS Catanzaro
4.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Avellino
(Home) 28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1 Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5 Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1 Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0 Castel di Sangro
12 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Avellino
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1 Real Forio 2014
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1 Scafatese
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0 Castel di Sangro
08 May
Avellino
1 : 0 Modena
24 Apr
Avellino
2 : 0 Bari
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Catanzaro
(Away) 29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1 Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2 Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2 Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0 Catanzaro
17 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Palermo
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Monza
0 : 2 Catanzaro
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0 Catanzaro
01 May
Palermo
3 : 2 Catanzaro
18 Apr
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 Catanzaro
11 Apr
Avellino
1 : 1 Catanzaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Avellino | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 17 | Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | 40 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | 35 |
| 20 | Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | 35 |
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
