Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Avellino host Padova in the Serie B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Padova have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Avellino have conceded 1.41 and scored 2.24. Head-to-head, Avellino have won 1 to Padova's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Avellino. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Avellino lately — more wins on the board than Padova.
- Avellino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avellino | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avellino's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Padova let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Avellino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Avellino
(Home)Padova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
