Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avellino vs Picerno

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kumi J.
23' Event
Russo R.
47' Event
Pugliese S.

AI Match Summary

Avellino in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Avellino
20%
Draws
38%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Avellino have won more games recently than Picerno.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Avellino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Avellino Clean Sheet 68%
Picerno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avellino Picerno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Avellino vs Picerno
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Picerno
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Avellino
4:1
Mar 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Picerno
6:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Avellino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avellino 59 / 100
Picerno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avellino Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Avellino's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Avellino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avellino VS Picerno
3.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Avellino

(Home)
08 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Torino
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
28 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Real Forio 2014
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
29 Mar
Picerno
0 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6