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Avenida vs EC Juventude Prediction & H2H Stats

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Gaucho 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Caique Calito
35'
Sub
Cipriano In: Kawan
Out: Cipriano
46'
Sub
Petterson Novaes In: Giovanny
Out: Petterson Novaes

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Avenida
35%
Draws
37%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • EC Juventude have won more games recently than Avenida.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida EC Juventude
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs EC Juventude
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs Avenida
3:1
Feb 2, 2023 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs Avenida
1:0
Mar 21, 2019 Gaucho
EC Juventude vs Avenida
1:0
Feb 5, 2018 Gaucho
Avenida vs EC Juventude
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Calito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Farias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 42 / 100
EC Juventude 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Avenida remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Avenida scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS EC Juventude
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 8 5 2 1 19:3 17
2 Guarany de Bage 8 2 3 3 6:6 9
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
4 Avenida 8 0 3 5 4:9 3
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 SER Caxias do Sul 8 4 2 2 8:9 14
3 Ypiranga FC 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
4 Pelotas 8 1 3 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
2 Sao Luiz 8 2 3 3 7:13 9
3 Monsoon 8 2 1 5 7:14 7
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 1 4 3 5:10 7
Promotion - Gaucho 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Gaucho 2025 (Relegation Group)