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Stadium Background

Avenida vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Eucaliptos, Santa Cruz do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wellisson
10' Event
Wellisson
Assist: Vinicius Silva
46'
Sub
Ze Adilson In: Dionisio
Out: Ze Adilson

AI Match Summary

Avenida in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avenida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Avenida
20%
Draws
38%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avenida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC have won more games recently than Avenida.
  • Avenida are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenida Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Ypiranga FC
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Gaucho
Avenida vs Ypiranga FC
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Gaucho
Avenida vs Ypiranga FC
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Gaucho
Avenida vs Ypiranga FC
1:0
Feb 22, 2015 Gaucho
Ypiranga FC vs Avenida
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avenida Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ypiranga FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenida 51 / 100
Ypiranga FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenida Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Avenida stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ypiranga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Avenida scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avenida VS Ypiranga FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenida

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
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Ypiranga FC

(Away)
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
28 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Confianca
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
15 Jun
Ypiranga FC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)