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Avenir Beggen vs Fola Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 Stade rue Henri Dunant, Beggen
Sun, Mar 7, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Avenir Beggen have averaged 1.14 scored and 2.1 conceded recently, against Fola's 1.35 scored and 2.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Avenir Beggen have won 1 to Fola's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.54 xG vs 1.54) point toward Fola. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Avenir Beggen
15%
Draws
64%
Fola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fola lately — more wins on the board than Avenir Beggen.
  • Model gives Fola a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Fola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fola, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Avenir Beggen Clean Sheet 15%
Fola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avenir Beggen Fola
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.14 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
Avenir Beggen vs Fola
0:0
Dec 1, 2013 Luxembourg Cup
Avenir Beggen vs Fola
2:1
Feb 27, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Avenir Beggen vs Fola
1:2
May 17, 2009 BGL Ligue
Fola vs Avenir Beggen
3:1
Apr 11, 2009 Luxembourg Cup
Avenir Beggen vs Fola
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avenir Beggen 10 / 100
Fola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avenir Beggen Fola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fola conceded in 84% of 37 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Avenir Beggen scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Avenir Beggen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avenir Beggen VS Fola
3.33 Goals Scored 0.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avenir Beggen

(Home)
20 Sept
Les Ardoisiers Perle
0 : 7
Avenir Beggen
21 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
4 : 1
Avenir Beggen
21 Sept
Avenir Beggen
2 : 3
Rumelange
06 Oct
Union Tetange
2 : 0
Avenir Beggen
01 Oct
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 1
Avenir Beggen
Page 1 of 6

Fola

(Away)
20 Sept
Lintgen
3 : 0
Fola
22 Apr
Fola
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
04 Mar
Fola
3 : 1
Hostert
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4
Fola
21 Sept
Jeunesse Biwer
1 : 4
Fola
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
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