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Avezzano vs Matese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Forte D.
82' Event
Verna C.

AI Match Summary

Avezzano in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avezzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Avezzano
15%
Draws
26%
Matese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Avezzano have won more games recently than Matese.
  • Model gives Avezzano a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%
Matese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avezzano Matese
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.32 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Matese
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Avezzano
0:1
Mar 15, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Avezzano
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Matese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avezzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Forte D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verna C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avezzano 95 / 100
Matese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avezzano Matese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avezzano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Matese conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Avezzano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avezzano VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avezzano

(Home)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
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Matese

(Away)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)