Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avezzano vs Porto D'Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Spagna S.
79'

AI Match Summary

Porto D'Ascoli in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto D'Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Avezzano
30%
Draws
18%
Porto D'Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Avezzano have won more games recently than Porto D'Ascoli.
  • Model gives Avezzano a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avezzano Porto D'Ascoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.26 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Avezzano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avezzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Spagna S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avezzano 95 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avezzano Porto D'Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avezzano's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Porto D'Ascoli let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Avezzano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avezzano VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avezzano

(Home)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 7

Porto D'Ascoli

(Away)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)