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Avezzano vs Sangiustese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Buonaventura A.
65'
Masini G.
65'
Masini G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Avezzano and Sangiustese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiustese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Avezzano
15%
Draws
0%
Sangiustese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Avezzano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Avezzano a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avezzano Sangiustese
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.26 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Sangiustese
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Avezzano
5:1
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Sangiustese
1:0
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Avezzano
1:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Sangiustese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avezzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sangiustese Compare

Top Goalscorer Buonaventura A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avezzano 85 / 100
Sangiustese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avezzano Sangiustese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sangiustese conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Sangiustese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Avezzano scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Avezzano VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avezzano

(Home)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
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Sangiustese

(Away)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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