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Aviles Stadium vs Llanes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

11' Event
Mugica I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Aviles Stadium and Llanes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aviles Stadium
15%
Draws
64%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aviles Stadium haven't matched Llanes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 20%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aviles Stadium Llanes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 14 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanes
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanes
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aviles Stadium Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugica I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aviles Stadium 32 / 100
Llanes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aviles Stadium Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Llanes's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aviles Stadium's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aviles Stadium VS Llanes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aviles Stadium

(Home)
14 Aug
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanera
11 Aug
Club Siero
1 : 0
Aviles Stadium
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Llanera
03 May
Real Titanico
2 : 2
Aviles Stadium
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
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Llanes

(Away)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)