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Aviles Stadium vs Llanes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aviles Stadium host Llanes in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Llanes have shipped 1.74 goals a game lately, while Aviles Stadium have conceded 1.06 and scored 0.48. Head-to-head, Aviles Stadium have won 1 to Llanes's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Llanes. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aviles Stadium
30%
Draws
35%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Llanes at 1.29 per game, Aviles Stadium at 0.48.
  • Win probability leans Aviles Stadium's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 20%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aviles Stadium Llanes
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 5 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.48 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanes
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Llanes
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Aviles Stadium
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aviles Stadium 36 / 100
Llanes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aviles Stadium Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aviles Stadium found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (33 games).

Aviles Stadium went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aviles Stadium VS Llanes
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aviles Stadium

(Home)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Gijon B
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
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Llanes

(Away)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)