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Avispa Fukuoka vs Fukuyama City Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2024 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sawada K.
30' Event
Wellington
43' Event
Kanamori T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Avispa Fukuoka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
36%
Fukuyama City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avispa Fukuoka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Avispa Fukuoka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Avispa Fukuoka a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Avispa Fukuoka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 68%
Fukuyama City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Fukuyama City
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 12 4
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fukuyama City
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahedi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matsuoka D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Fukuyama City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 95 / 100
Fukuyama City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Fukuyama City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avispa Fukuoka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukuyama City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Avispa Fukuoka scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Fukuyama City's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

Fukuyama City

(Away)
11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Fukuyama City
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1
Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0
Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1
Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Albirex Niigata 5
Giravanz Kitakyushu 4
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 2
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Gifu 2
Kumamoto 1
Mito 2
Sagan Tosu 2
Kochi United 1
Yokohama FC 2
Vanraure 1
Nagoya Grampus 0
Japan Soccer 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Renofa Yamaguchi 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11
Baleine Shimonoseki 2
Blaublitz 0
Iwaki 2
Avispa Fukuoka 8
Fukuyama City 0
Okayama 1
Ehime 7
Gamba Osaka 3
Fukushima United 0
Iwata 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2
Shonan Bellmare 3
Konan University 1
Verdy 5
Nagano Parceiro 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
J-Lease 1
Kofu 2
Honda FC 0
Kashima Antlers 2
Nara Club 1
Fujieda MYFC 2
Tochigi SC 0
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Machida Zelvia 1
Tsukuba Univ. 2
Vissel Kobe 2
Toyama 0
Tokushima 1
Vegalta Sendai 0
Kyoto 2
Omiya Ardija 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 9
Mitsubishi Nagasaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sony Sendai 0
Oita Trinita 1
Kagoshima United 0
FC Tokyo 3
Veertien Mie 0
Chiba 2
Chukyo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3
Tochigi City 1
Montedio Yamagata 3
SC Sagamihara 2
1/16-finals
Albirex Niigata 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 6
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Mito 2
Sagan Tosu 3
Yokohama FC 1
Japan Soccer 0
Renofa Yamaguchi 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Ehime 2
Gamba Osaka 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Shonan Bellmare 1
Verdy 0
Cerezo Osaka 1
Kofu 2
Kashima Antlers 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Tokushima 0
Kyoto 3
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Oita Trinita 3
FC Tokyo 1
Chiba 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 6
Montedio Yamagata 3
1/8-finals
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Sagan Tosu 0
Renofa Yamaguchi 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Ehime 0
Gamba Osaka 3
Shonan Bellmare 2
Kofu 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Kashiwa Reysol 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Kyoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Chiba 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0
Quarter-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 5
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Kashima Antlers 0
Vissel Kobe 3
Kyoto 3
Chiba 0
Semi-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Gamba Osaka 3
Vissel Kobe 2
Kyoto 1
Final
Gamba Osaka 0
Vissel Kobe 1