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Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Osako Y.
Assist: Thuler M.
34'
Shigemi M.
52'
Maejima Y.

AI Match Summary

The J1 League game between Avispa Fukuoka and Vissel Kobe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vissel Kobe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Avispa Fukuoka
15%
Draws
64%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vissel Kobe come out ahead of Avispa Fukuoka on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 16%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
May 23, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Osako Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avispa Fukuoka 31 / 100
Vissel Kobe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avispa Fukuoka Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avispa Fukuoka scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Vissel Kobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Avispa Fukuoka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avispa Fukuoka VS Vissel Kobe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Avispa Fukuoka

(Home)
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
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Vissel Kobe

(Away)
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
8 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
17 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)