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Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Avenger park
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Match Events

63' Event
Latham J.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Carpenter B.
74' Event
Trajceski K.

AI Match Summary

Avondale FC in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avondale FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avondale FC
6%
Draws
4%
Dandenong City SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avondale FC have won more games recently than Dandenong City SC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Avondale FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 16%
Dandenong City SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale FC Dandenong City SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 3.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Avondale FC
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs Dandenong City SC
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong City SC vs Avondale FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carpenter B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trajceski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Dandenong City SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale FC 84 / 100
Dandenong City SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale FC Dandenong City SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Dandenong City SC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Dandenong City SC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avondale FC VS Dandenong City SC
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons21145244:1847
2Hume City21124540:2540
3Avondale FC21112854:2835
4Preston Lions20123530:1633
5Heidelberg Utd2196633:2633
6South Melbourne21102931:3232
7Melbourne City U212086637:2330
8George Cross2179528:2830
9St Albans2166924:3724
10Altona Magic21651024:3623
11Dandenong City SC2175927:2922
12Bentleigh Greens21541220:4519
13Dandenong Thunder21431423:4615
14Green Gully21341417:4313