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Avondale FC vs St Albans

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Avenger park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avondale FC host St Albans in the NPL Victoria. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. St Albans have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Avondale FC have conceded 1.13 and scored 4. Past meetings favor Avondale FC slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 1.13, favoring Avondale FC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Avondale FC
6%
Draws
4%
St Albans
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avondale FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Avondale FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Avondale FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 20%
St Albans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale FC St Albans
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 4 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Avondale FC
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs St Albans
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Avondale FC
1:4
May 25, 2024 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs St Albans
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Avondale FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale FC 85 / 100
St Albans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale FC St Albans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avondale FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).

St Albans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Avondale FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avondale FC VS St Albans
4 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210